In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the portfolion diversification ratio based on Value-at-Risk (quantile) under dependence uncertainty, which we refer to as “worst-case diversification limit”. We show that the worst-case diversification limit is equal to the upper limit of the worst-case diversification ratio under mild conditions on the portfolio marginal distributions. In the case of regularly varying margins, we provide explicit values for the worst-case diversification limit. Under the framework of dependence uncertainty the worst-case diversification limit is significantly higher compared to classic results obtained in the literature of multivariate regularly varying distributions. The results carried out in this paper bring together extreme value theory and dependence uncertainty, two popular topic in the recent study of risk aggregation.

Diversification limit of quantiles under dependence uncertainty / Bignozzi, Valeria; Mao, Tiantian; Wang, Bin; Wang, Ruodu. - In: EXTREMES. - ISSN 1386-1999. - STAMPA. - 19:2(2016), pp. 143-170. [10.1007/s10687-016-0245-5]

Diversification limit of quantiles under dependence uncertainty

BIGNOZZI, VALERIA;
2016

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the portfolion diversification ratio based on Value-at-Risk (quantile) under dependence uncertainty, which we refer to as “worst-case diversification limit”. We show that the worst-case diversification limit is equal to the upper limit of the worst-case diversification ratio under mild conditions on the portfolio marginal distributions. In the case of regularly varying margins, we provide explicit values for the worst-case diversification limit. Under the framework of dependence uncertainty the worst-case diversification limit is significantly higher compared to classic results obtained in the literature of multivariate regularly varying distributions. The results carried out in this paper bring together extreme value theory and dependence uncertainty, two popular topic in the recent study of risk aggregation.
2016
Value-at-Risk ; Diversification ratio ; Extreme value analysis ; Asymptotics ; Dependence uncertainty
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Diversification limit of quantiles under dependence uncertainty / Bignozzi, Valeria; Mao, Tiantian; Wang, Bin; Wang, Ruodu. - In: EXTREMES. - ISSN 1386-1999. - STAMPA. - 19:2(2016), pp. 143-170. [10.1007/s10687-016-0245-5]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/871547
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