The properties of dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models, introduced more than a decade ago, are still not entirely known. This paper fills one of the gaps by deriving weak diffusion limits of a modified version of the classical DCC model. The limiting system of stochastic differential equations is characterized by a diffusion matrix of reduced rank. The degeneracy is due to perfect collinearity between the innovations of the volatility and correlation dynamics. For the special case of constant conditional correlations, a nondegenerate diffusion limit can be obtained. Alternative sets of conditions are considered for the rate of convergence of the parameters, obtaining time-varying but deterministic variances and/or correlations. A Monte Carlo experiment confirms that the often used quasi-approximate maximum likelihood (QAML) method to estimate the diffusion parameters is inconsistent for any fixed frequency, but that it may provide reasonable approximations for sufficiently large frequencies and sample sizes.

Weak diffusion limits of dynamic conditional correlation models / Hafner, Christian M; Laurent, Sebastien; Violante, Francesco. - In: ECONOMETRIC THEORY. - ISSN 0266-4666. - STAMPA. - 33:3(2017), pp. 691-716. [10.1017/S0266466616000128]

Weak diffusion limits of dynamic conditional correlation models

VIOLANTE, FRANCESCO
2017

Abstract

The properties of dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models, introduced more than a decade ago, are still not entirely known. This paper fills one of the gaps by deriving weak diffusion limits of a modified version of the classical DCC model. The limiting system of stochastic differential equations is characterized by a diffusion matrix of reduced rank. The degeneracy is due to perfect collinearity between the innovations of the volatility and correlation dynamics. For the special case of constant conditional correlations, a nondegenerate diffusion limit can be obtained. Alternative sets of conditions are considered for the rate of convergence of the parameters, obtaining time-varying but deterministic variances and/or correlations. A Monte Carlo experiment confirms that the often used quasi-approximate maximum likelihood (QAML) method to estimate the diffusion parameters is inconsistent for any fixed frequency, but that it may provide reasonable approximations for sufficiently large frequencies and sample sizes.
2017
Social Sciences (miscellaneous); Economics; Econometrics
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Weak diffusion limits of dynamic conditional correlation models / Hafner, Christian M; Laurent, Sebastien; Violante, Francesco. - In: ECONOMETRIC THEORY. - ISSN 0266-4666. - STAMPA. - 33:3(2017), pp. 691-716. [10.1017/S0266466616000128]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/957239
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