Any assessment formed by a strategy and a prior probability is a coherent conditional probability and can be extended, generally not in a unique way, to a full conditional probability. The corresponding class of all extensions is studied and a closed form expression for its envelopes is provided. Subclasses of extensions meeting further analytical properties are considered by imposing conglomerability and a conditional version of conglomerability, respectively. Then, the envelopes of extensions satisfying these conditions are characterized.
Envelopes of conditional probabilities extending a strategy and a prior probability / Petturiti, Davide; Vantaggi, Barbara. - In: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPROXIMATE REASONING. - ISSN 0888-613X. - STAMPA. - 81:(2017), pp. 160-182. [10.1016/j.ijar.2016.11.014]
Envelopes of conditional probabilities extending a strategy and a prior probability
VANTAGGI, Barbara
2017
Abstract
Any assessment formed by a strategy and a prior probability is a coherent conditional probability and can be extended, generally not in a unique way, to a full conditional probability. The corresponding class of all extensions is studied and a closed form expression for its envelopes is provided. Subclasses of extensions meeting further analytical properties are considered by imposing conglomerability and a conditional version of conglomerability, respectively. Then, the envelopes of extensions satisfying these conditions are characterized.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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