La previsione dei consumi elettrici: un’applicazione al settore del trasporto ferroviario

Due to the liberalization of countless electricity markets, load forecasting has become crucial to all public utilities for which electricity is a strategic variable. With the goal of contributing to the forecasting process inside public utilities and companies in general, this paper addresses the issue of applying different quantitave forecasting models for forecasting the daily and hourly electricity load curve of the Italian railways. The analysis shows the accuracy of the models proposed as well as their properties for this particular case.