Cross-country economic convergence has been increasingly investigated by finite mixture models. Multiple components in a mixture reflect groups of countries that converge locally. Testing for the number of components is crucial for detecting ``convergence clubs''. To assess the number of components of the mixture, we propose a sequential procedure that compares the shape of the hypothesized mixture distribution with the true unknown density, consistently estimated through a kernel estimator. The novelty of our approach is its capability to select the number of components along with a satisfactory fitting of the model. Simulation studies and an empirical application to per capita income distribution across countries testify for the good performance of our approach. A three-clubs convergence seems to emerge.
Evidence of convergence clubs using mixture models / Pittau, Maria Grazia; Zelli, Roberto; Massari, Riccardo. - In: ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS. - ISSN 0747-4938. - STAMPA. - 35:7(2016), pp. 1317-1342. [10.1080/07474938.2014.977062]
Evidence of convergence clubs using mixture models
PITTAU, Maria Grazia;ZELLI, Roberto;MASSARI, Riccardo
2016
Abstract
Cross-country economic convergence has been increasingly investigated by finite mixture models. Multiple components in a mixture reflect groups of countries that converge locally. Testing for the number of components is crucial for detecting ``convergence clubs''. To assess the number of components of the mixture, we propose a sequential procedure that compares the shape of the hypothesized mixture distribution with the true unknown density, consistently estimated through a kernel estimator. The novelty of our approach is its capability to select the number of components along with a satisfactory fitting of the model. Simulation studies and an empirical application to per capita income distribution across countries testify for the good performance of our approach. A three-clubs convergence seems to emerge.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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