This paper proposes a modified version of the Shang method, starting from the assumption that the convergence of opinions involves a spatial context in many applications. The Spatial Shang we present is based, like the classical Shang method, on judgments of a panel of experts, and is applicable when consultations and consequent decisions concern matters of spatial location. The experts are first asked to draw four points on a map while, in subsequent rounds, each panelist must locate a single point, representing her/his evaluation, in one of four rectangles drawn on the map. The method is very easy to be implemented and the whole procedure is very fast to be performed. The application presented in this paper concerns the Costa Teatina National Park (Italy) and the definition of its boundaries. We will here present the on-going conflict and the contribution to its mitigation offered by the Spatial Shang method. The application resulted in a convergence of opinions in a buffer of 550 m; that can be used as a decision support for the choice on the best location for the park's boundaries.

A spatial version of the Shang method / S., Di Zio; Staniscia, Barbara. - In: TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE. - ISSN 0040-1625. - STAMPA. - 86:(2014), pp. 207-215. [10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.011]

A spatial version of the Shang method

STANISCIA, BARBARA
2014

Abstract

This paper proposes a modified version of the Shang method, starting from the assumption that the convergence of opinions involves a spatial context in many applications. The Spatial Shang we present is based, like the classical Shang method, on judgments of a panel of experts, and is applicable when consultations and consequent decisions concern matters of spatial location. The experts are first asked to draw four points on a map while, in subsequent rounds, each panelist must locate a single point, representing her/his evaluation, in one of four rectangles drawn on the map. The method is very easy to be implemented and the whole procedure is very fast to be performed. The application presented in this paper concerns the Costa Teatina National Park (Italy) and the definition of its boundaries. We will here present the on-going conflict and the contribution to its mitigation offered by the Spatial Shang method. The application resulted in a convergence of opinions in a buffer of 550 m; that can be used as a decision support for the choice on the best location for the park's boundaries.
2014
Shang Delphi; Convergence of opinions; Spatial decisions; Environmental conflicts
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
A spatial version of the Shang method / S., Di Zio; Staniscia, Barbara. - In: TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE. - ISSN 0040-1625. - STAMPA. - 86:(2014), pp. 207-215. [10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.011]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/746633
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