The seismic performance of a regional Health-Care System (HCS) is investigated.The earthquake effects both on hospitals and on the Road Network (RDN), connecting towns to hospitals, are evaluated and the interaction among them accounted for. Victims move to hospitals until their request for a bed or for a surgical treatment is satisfied, if possible. A novel "dynamic" model for hospitalization is developed end implemented. The road network is modelled in connectivity terms. The vulnerability of hospitals and bridges is expressed by pre-evaluated fragility curves. Seismic hazard is described by a state-of-the-art model. The reliability problem is solved by Monte Carlo simulation. The un-hospitalized victims, the hospital's risk of failure in providing medical care, the demand of medical care on hospitals, the hospitalization travel time are among the useful results available from the analysis. The methodology is exemplified with reference to a case-study region, with population of 877,000, 20 towns, 5 hospitals and 32 bridges. © 2013 Taylor & Francis Group, London.
Seismic resilience of regional health-care systems / Lupoi, Alessio; Cavalieri, Francesco; Franchin, Paolo. - (2013), pp. 4221-4228. (Intervento presentato al convegno 11th International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability, ICOSSAR 2013 tenutosi a New York, NY nel 16 June 2013 through 20 June 2013).
Seismic resilience of regional health-care systems
LUPOI, ALESSIO;CAVALIERI, FRANCESCO;FRANCHIN, Paolo
2013
Abstract
The seismic performance of a regional Health-Care System (HCS) is investigated.The earthquake effects both on hospitals and on the Road Network (RDN), connecting towns to hospitals, are evaluated and the interaction among them accounted for. Victims move to hospitals until their request for a bed or for a surgical treatment is satisfied, if possible. A novel "dynamic" model for hospitalization is developed end implemented. The road network is modelled in connectivity terms. The vulnerability of hospitals and bridges is expressed by pre-evaluated fragility curves. Seismic hazard is described by a state-of-the-art model. The reliability problem is solved by Monte Carlo simulation. The un-hospitalized victims, the hospital's risk of failure in providing medical care, the demand of medical care on hospitals, the hospitalization travel time are among the useful results available from the analysis. The methodology is exemplified with reference to a case-study region, with population of 877,000, 20 towns, 5 hospitals and 32 bridges. © 2013 Taylor & Francis Group, London.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
