Nuovi scenari di rischio nell’area vesuviana

While waiting for the Census data for 2011, which will be used for a re-evaluation of the «social risk» due to volcanic eruptions of Vesuvius as a result of the combination of different variables, a re-evaluation of the volcanic risk per number of inhabitants was made on the basis of the Istat data of 2010 published in the Bilancio demografico e popolazione residente al 31 Dicembre. In fact, we need to do new research and update works in progress in order to have detailed information on the municipalities exposed to very high and high risk. For the purpose of providing backup to the strategic management of potential emergencies and defining a specific framework, we also provide an analysis of the recent demographic variations, taking into consideration the natural and the migratory balance. This work also tries to provide a basis for future papers which intend to involve also the municipalities of the Phlegraean Fields (Campi Flegrei), according to comparable models, in order to draw up a classification of the Italian municipalities faced with the highest volcanic risk