This paper is devoted to the probabilistic analysis of the Vajont landslide event according to the basic statements of risk analysis. In particular, the goal is to find out a regressive estimate of the landslide rate of movement in terms of the rainfall, R(f), and the reservoir level, R(l), time evolution during the test period. This will be obtained by developing a kind of geostatistical analysis on the space of standardized variables (R(f), R(l)), based on classical ordinary kriging. Risk analysis will be formulated introducing a suitable safety margin function, depending on the mass of the slide, M, on its initial velocity, v(in), and the amplitude, H, of the water wave flowing out of the Vajont basin.

Geostatistics/reliability based risk analysis of the Vajont landslide / Guarascio, Massimo; Lombardi, Mara; Rossi, Giuliano; Sciarra, Giulio. - STAMPA. - 108:(2009), pp. 607-615. (Intervento presentato al convegno 3rd International Conference on Safety and Security Engineering tenutosi a Rome, ITALY nel 2009) [10.2495/safe090561].

Geostatistics/reliability based risk analysis of the Vajont landslide

GUARASCIO, Massimo;LOMBARDI, MARA;Rossi, Giuliano;SCIARRA, Giulio
2009

Abstract

This paper is devoted to the probabilistic analysis of the Vajont landslide event according to the basic statements of risk analysis. In particular, the goal is to find out a regressive estimate of the landslide rate of movement in terms of the rainfall, R(f), and the reservoir level, R(l), time evolution during the test period. This will be obtained by developing a kind of geostatistical analysis on the space of standardized variables (R(f), R(l)), based on classical ordinary kriging. Risk analysis will be formulated introducing a suitable safety margin function, depending on the mass of the slide, M, on its initial velocity, v(in), and the amplitude, H, of the water wave flowing out of the Vajont basin.
2009
3rd International Conference on Safety and Security Engineering
geostatistics; reliability; risk analysis
04 Pubblicazione in atti di convegno::04b Atto di convegno in volume
Geostatistics/reliability based risk analysis of the Vajont landslide / Guarascio, Massimo; Lombardi, Mara; Rossi, Giuliano; Sciarra, Giulio. - STAMPA. - 108:(2009), pp. 607-615. (Intervento presentato al convegno 3rd International Conference on Safety and Security Engineering tenutosi a Rome, ITALY nel 2009) [10.2495/safe090561].
File allegati a questo prodotto
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/368151
 Attenzione

Attenzione! I dati visualizzati non sono stati sottoposti a validazione da parte dell'ateneo

Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 7
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 5
social impact