The hyper-Dirichlet process and its discrete approximations: The butterfly model

The aim of this paper is the Study of some random probability distributions, called hyper-Dirichlet processes. In the simplest situation considered in the paper these distributions charge the product of three sample spaces, with the property that the first and the last component are independent conditional to the middle one. The law of the marginals oil the first two and oil the last two components are specified to be Dirichlet processes with the same marginal parameter measure oil the common second component. The joint law is then obtained as the hyper-Markov combination, introduced in [A.P. Dawid, S.L. Lauritzen, Hyper-Markov laws in the statistical analysis of decomposable graphical models, Ann. Statist. 21 (3) (1993) 1272-1317]. of these two Dirichlet processes. The processes constructed in this way in fact are in fact generalizations of the hyper-Dirichlet laws oil contingency tables considered in the above paper. Our main result is the convergence to the hyper-Dirichlet process of the sequence of hyper-Dirichlet laws associated to finer and finer "discretizations" of the two parameter measures, which is proved by means of a suitable coupling construction. (C) 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.