Under quite mild assumptions, the Bayes factor for one-sided testing of the parameter of a statistical model is a monotone function of uniformly most powerful test statistics. Often closed-form formulas that connect Bayesian evidential thresholds of Bayes factors with the corresponding frequentist thresholds of optimal tests of given size are available. In these cases one can easily determine: (a) the operating characteristics (type-one error probability and power) of the Bayes factor for a given level of the evidence; (b) the evidential threshold induced by a chosen size for the test. The proposed method can also be used for prior criticism. We exemplify the above findings using the negative exponential model and data from a customer satisfaction study.

Bayes Factors as Uniformly Most Powerful Tests / De Santis, F., Gubbiotti, S., Iannucci, G.. - (2026), pp. 167-173. (SIS-FENStatS 2026 Roma ) [10.1007/978-3-032-30881-8_28].

Bayes Factors as Uniformly Most Powerful Tests

De Santis, Fulvio;Gubbiotti, Stefania;Iannucci, Gabriele
2026

Abstract

Under quite mild assumptions, the Bayes factor for one-sided testing of the parameter of a statistical model is a monotone function of uniformly most powerful test statistics. Often closed-form formulas that connect Bayesian evidential thresholds of Bayes factors with the corresponding frequentist thresholds of optimal tests of given size are available. In these cases one can easily determine: (a) the operating characteristics (type-one error probability and power) of the Bayes factor for a given level of the evidence; (b) the evidential threshold induced by a chosen size for the test. The proposed method can also be used for prior criticism. We exemplify the above findings using the negative exponential model and data from a customer satisfaction study.
2026
SIS-FENStatS 2026
Bayesian and frequentist interplay; one-sided testing; operating characteristics; power; prior criticism
04 Pubblicazione in atti di convegno::04b Atto di convegno in volume
Bayes Factors as Uniformly Most Powerful Tests / De Santis, F., Gubbiotti, S., Iannucci, G.. - (2026), pp. 167-173. (SIS-FENStatS 2026 Roma ) [10.1007/978-3-032-30881-8_28].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1778142
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