We test whether minimal, non-informative messages can nudge tax compliance beyond standard deterrence. In a within-subjects lab experiment, we randomize exposure to either a "reminder" that leaves audit probability unchanged or an informative "warning" tied to higher audit probability, and estimate effects on both the probability of evasion and the share of income evaded. A short non-informative reminder, holding incentives fixed, lowers the probability of evasion by about 16 percentage points, with no detectable effect on the evaded share among evaders; informative messages add at most marginal effects once audit probability is controlled for.
Nudging tax compliance. Evidence from a laboratory experiment / Di Bartolomeo, G., Fedeli, S., Papa, S.. - In: JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL AND EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS. - ISSN 2214-8051. - 124:(2026), pp. 1-9. [10.1016/j.socec.2026.102624]
Nudging tax compliance. Evidence from a laboratory experiment
Di Bartolomeo G.;Fedeli S.;Papa S.
2026
Abstract
We test whether minimal, non-informative messages can nudge tax compliance beyond standard deterrence. In a within-subjects lab experiment, we randomize exposure to either a "reminder" that leaves audit probability unchanged or an informative "warning" tied to higher audit probability, and estimate effects on both the probability of evasion and the share of income evaded. A short non-informative reminder, holding incentives fixed, lowers the probability of evasion by about 16 percentage points, with no detectable effect on the evaded share among evaders; informative messages add at most marginal effects once audit probability is controlled for.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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