Within a New Keynesian model with heterogeneous households and credit frictions, we show that idiosyncratic uncertainty gives rise to an additional transmission channel that amplifies the effects of balance-sheet policies through consumption risk, making them a key tool for anchoring private-sector expectations. We further show that the optimal monetary policy features a clear division of labor between conventional and unconventional tools: balance-sheet policy should target cross-sectional welfare objectives, absorbing fluctuations in variables with distributional relevance such as private debt, whereas conventional interest-rate policy stabilizes aggregate targets and responds to aggregate shocks, as in the representative-agent benchmark. Thus, the optimal response to a debt-deleveraging crisis is unconventional: it entails a shorter, rather than longer, duration of zero-interest-rate policies relative to conventional inflation targeting, and does not require front-loaded inflation at the effective lower bound.
Unconventional policy and idiosyncratic risk / Nistico, S., Seccareccia, M.. - In: JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS. - ISSN 0304-3932. - 162:(2026). [10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103973]
Unconventional policy and idiosyncratic risk
Salvatore Nistico
;
2026
Abstract
Within a New Keynesian model with heterogeneous households and credit frictions, we show that idiosyncratic uncertainty gives rise to an additional transmission channel that amplifies the effects of balance-sheet policies through consumption risk, making them a key tool for anchoring private-sector expectations. We further show that the optimal monetary policy features a clear division of labor between conventional and unconventional tools: balance-sheet policy should target cross-sectional welfare objectives, absorbing fluctuations in variables with distributional relevance such as private debt, whereas conventional interest-rate policy stabilizes aggregate targets and responds to aggregate shocks, as in the representative-agent benchmark. Thus, the optimal response to a debt-deleveraging crisis is unconventional: it entails a shorter, rather than longer, duration of zero-interest-rate policies relative to conventional inflation targeting, and does not require front-loaded inflation at the effective lower bound.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.


