Seismic faults paradoxically combine high frictional strength, which promotes stress accumulation and should hinder slip, with large seismic displacements. Among proposed dynamic weakening mechanisms, shear heating is crucial because it triggers decarbonation and CO₂ production. In carbonate faults, this process generates transient CO₂ pressurization that can modulate rupture dynamics and promote supershear propagation, yet the amount and pressure of produced CO₂ remain poorly quanti ed. We investigate carbonate faults in the Apennines, Italy, a region affected by Mw≤7.1 earthquakes. Integrating nano-scale observations of fault surfaces with mineralogical and isotopic constraints, we develop a stoichiometric-thermodynamic model linking seis- mic decarbonation to Mw 5.9–6.5 earthquakes. Individual events can produce up to 12 tons of CO₂, generating quasi-lithostatic pressures ( ~ 196 MPa) under undrained con nement and supra-hydrostatic pressures (76–134 MPa) under drained conditions. Here, we conclude that seismic CO₂ pressurization can sustain dynamic slip and enhance the destructive potential of earthquakes in carbonate terrains.

Earthquake dynamics sustained by seismic CO2 / Curzi, Manuel; Billi, Andrea; Aldega, Luca; Baneschi, Ilaria; Boschi, Chiara; Caracausi, Antonio; Cavallo, Andrea; Ruggieri, Giovanni; Carminati, Eugenio. - In: NATURE COMMUNICATIONS. - ISSN 2041-1723. - 17:1(2026). [10.1038/s41467-026-69174-w]

Earthquake dynamics sustained by seismic CO2

Curzi, Manuel
Primo
;
Aldega, Luca;Carminati, Eugenio
2026

Abstract

Seismic faults paradoxically combine high frictional strength, which promotes stress accumulation and should hinder slip, with large seismic displacements. Among proposed dynamic weakening mechanisms, shear heating is crucial because it triggers decarbonation and CO₂ production. In carbonate faults, this process generates transient CO₂ pressurization that can modulate rupture dynamics and promote supershear propagation, yet the amount and pressure of produced CO₂ remain poorly quanti ed. We investigate carbonate faults in the Apennines, Italy, a region affected by Mw≤7.1 earthquakes. Integrating nano-scale observations of fault surfaces with mineralogical and isotopic constraints, we develop a stoichiometric-thermodynamic model linking seis- mic decarbonation to Mw 5.9–6.5 earthquakes. Individual events can produce up to 12 tons of CO₂, generating quasi-lithostatic pressures ( ~ 196 MPa) under undrained con nement and supra-hydrostatic pressures (76–134 MPa) under drained conditions. Here, we conclude that seismic CO₂ pressurization can sustain dynamic slip and enhance the destructive potential of earthquakes in carbonate terrains.
2026
Decarbonation; Dynamic weakening; CO2; Carbonate Fault; Shear heating
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Earthquake dynamics sustained by seismic CO2 / Curzi, Manuel; Billi, Andrea; Aldega, Luca; Baneschi, Ilaria; Boschi, Chiara; Caracausi, Antonio; Cavallo, Andrea; Ruggieri, Giovanni; Carminati, Eugenio. - In: NATURE COMMUNICATIONS. - ISSN 2041-1723. - 17:1(2026). [10.1038/s41467-026-69174-w]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1765703
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