By revisiting well-established empirical regularities, this paper examines the distributional properties of city sizes in Italy over the period 2001–2024. Three main findings emerge. First, when considering the full population of approximately 7,900 municipalities, city sizes are well approximated by a lognormal distribution. Second, consistent with Gibrat’s law, city population growth rates appear to be independent of initial city size. Third, the upper tail of the distribution follows Zipf’s law, although the results are sensitive to the choice of the truncation threshold. The implications of these findings are discussed in relation to urban dynamics and the organization of the Italian urban system.

Size distribution of all italian cities / Belloc, Marianna. - In: ANNALI DEL DIPARTIMENTO DI METODI E MODELLI PER L'ECONOMIA, IL TERRITORIO E LA FINANZA .... - ISSN 2611-6634. - (2025), pp. 1-15. [10.13133/2611-6634/1865]

Size distribution of all italian cities

Marianna Belloc
2025

Abstract

By revisiting well-established empirical regularities, this paper examines the distributional properties of city sizes in Italy over the period 2001–2024. Three main findings emerge. First, when considering the full population of approximately 7,900 municipalities, city sizes are well approximated by a lognormal distribution. Second, consistent with Gibrat’s law, city population growth rates appear to be independent of initial city size. Third, the upper tail of the distribution follows Zipf’s law, although the results are sensitive to the choice of the truncation threshold. The implications of these findings are discussed in relation to urban dynamics and the organization of the Italian urban system.
2025
city size distribution; Zipf’s law; Gibrat’s law; log-normality
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Size distribution of all italian cities / Belloc, Marianna. - In: ANNALI DEL DIPARTIMENTO DI METODI E MODELLI PER L'ECONOMIA, IL TERRITORIO E LA FINANZA .... - ISSN 2611-6634. - (2025), pp. 1-15. [10.13133/2611-6634/1865]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1761352
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