This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 on household consumption poverty. To predict changes in income and the associated effects on poverty, we rely on existing estimated macroeconomic impacts. We assume two main impact channels: direct income/wage and employment losses. Our simulations suggest that consumption decreased by 7.1%– 14.4% and that poverty increased by 4.3–9.9 percentage points in 2020. This points to a reversal of the positive poverty reduction trend observed in previous years. Poverty most certainly increased in the pre-COVID period due to other shocks, so Mozambique finds itself in a deepening struggle against poverty.
The impact of COVID‐19 on consumption poverty in Mozambique / Barletta, Giulia; Castigo, Finório; Egger, Eva‐maria; Keller, Michael; Salvucci, V; Tarp, Finn. - In: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT. - ISSN 0954-1748. - 166:3(2022), pp. 771-802. [10.1002/jid.3599]
The impact of COVID‐19 on consumption poverty in Mozambique
Salvucci V
;
2022
Abstract
This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 on household consumption poverty. To predict changes in income and the associated effects on poverty, we rely on existing estimated macroeconomic impacts. We assume two main impact channels: direct income/wage and employment losses. Our simulations suggest that consumption decreased by 7.1%– 14.4% and that poverty increased by 4.3–9.9 percentage points in 2020. This points to a reversal of the positive poverty reduction trend observed in previous years. Poverty most certainly increased in the pre-COVID period due to other shocks, so Mozambique finds itself in a deepening struggle against poverty.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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Barletta_Impact_2022.pdf
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