We investigate the optimal self-protection problem, from the point of view of an insurance buyer, when the loss process is described by a Cox-shot-noise process and a Hawkes process with an exponential memory kernel. The insurance buyer chooses both the percentage of insured losses and the prevention effort. The latter term refers to actions aimed at reducing the frequency of the claim arrivals, allowing for a different impact on the self-exciting and on the externally excited components of the claim arrival intensity. The problem consists in maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth, in presence of a terminal reimbursement. We show that this problem can be formulated in terms of a suitable backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), for which we prove existence and uniqueness of the solution. We extend in several directions the results obtained by Bensalem, Santibanez and Kazi-Tani \cite{Bensalem_Santibanez_KazziTani} and compare our results with those presented therein.

Optimal self-protection via BSDEs for risk models with jump clusters / Brachetta, Matteo; Callegaro, Giorgia; Ceci, Claudia; Sgarra, Carlo. - In: SIAM JOURNAL ON CONTROL AND OPTIMIZATION. - ISSN 1095-7138. - 63:6(2025), pp. 3990-4017. [10.1137/24M1699413]

Optimal self-protection via BSDEs for risk models with jump clusters

Claudia Ceci;
2025

Abstract

We investigate the optimal self-protection problem, from the point of view of an insurance buyer, when the loss process is described by a Cox-shot-noise process and a Hawkes process with an exponential memory kernel. The insurance buyer chooses both the percentage of insured losses and the prevention effort. The latter term refers to actions aimed at reducing the frequency of the claim arrivals, allowing for a different impact on the self-exciting and on the externally excited components of the claim arrival intensity. The problem consists in maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth, in presence of a terminal reimbursement. We show that this problem can be formulated in terms of a suitable backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), for which we prove existence and uniqueness of the solution. We extend in several directions the results obtained by Bensalem, Santibanez and Kazi-Tani \cite{Bensalem_Santibanez_KazziTani} and compare our results with those presented therein.
2025
Self-protection; stochastic control; Hawkes processes; Cox processes with shot-noise; BSDEs
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Optimal self-protection via BSDEs for risk models with jump clusters / Brachetta, Matteo; Callegaro, Giorgia; Ceci, Claudia; Sgarra, Carlo. - In: SIAM JOURNAL ON CONTROL AND OPTIMIZATION. - ISSN 1095-7138. - 63:6(2025), pp. 3990-4017. [10.1137/24M1699413]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1747422
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