OCT predictors of retinal atrophy in neovascular age-related macular degeneration treated with aflibercept

AIM: To identify optical coherence tomography (OCT) features present at the diagnosis of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) that could predict retinal atrophy (RA) and visual performance in patients treated with intravitreal aflibercept. METHODS: OCT data collected at the time of nAMD diagnosis (T0), after the first (T1) and third (T2) intravitreal aflibercept injection, and 5y post-diagnosis (T3) were analyzed. The study included 46 eyes from patients undergoing treatment. The association of OCT features with RA and visual acuity (VA) development over time were evaluated. RESULTS: Patients with RA at T3 exhibited worse VA (35.19±5.7 vs 8.90±2.3, P<0.001) and a lower rate of improvement or stability at T2 (90.48% vs 56.00%, P=0.019) and T3 (85.71% vs 8.00%, P<0.001). The development of RA at T3 was linked with type 2 macular neovascularization (MNV; 4.76% vs 36.00%, P=0.013), thinner outer nuclear layer (ONL, 88.89±7.82 µm vs 71.38±14.14 µm, P=0.033), presence of intraretinal fluid (IRF, 42.86% vs 80.00%, P=0.014), presence of IRF without subretinal fluid at T0 (SRF, 4.76% vs 32.00%, P=0.027), and reduced central foveal thickness at T3 (CFT, 190.14±22.79 µm vs 124.32±14.35 µm, P<0.001). The presence of SRF with or without IRF at the diagnosis was comparable between the two groups (90.48% vs 68.00%; P=0.084). CONCLUSION: Type 2 MNV, reduces ONL and CFT, and IRF presence at baseline may signal a higher risk of RA in treatment-naive nAMD patients, underscoring the importance of these OCT features in early risk assessment and management strategies.