We propose a methodology to map structural reforms from granular data to an aggregate model, exploring their transmission mechanisms and their macroeconomic and social impacts. The study focuses on the rich case of the reforms associated with the Italian Recovery and Resilience Plan. We document a significant potential impact on medium- and long-term GDP and find that the labour market and education measures are the main drivers of the impact on GDP and employment. We also examine the distributional impact of the reforms on the functional income distribution.
The macroeconomic impact of structural reforms. The case of Italy / D'Andrea, Sara; D'Andrea, Silvia; Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; D'Imperio, Paolo; Infantino, Giancarlo; Meacci, Mara. - In: JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING. - ISSN 0161-8938. - 46:5(2024), pp. 946-963. [10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.05.002]
The macroeconomic impact of structural reforms. The case of Italy
D'Andrea, Sara;D'Andrea, Silvia;Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni;D'Imperio, Paolo
;
2024
Abstract
We propose a methodology to map structural reforms from granular data to an aggregate model, exploring their transmission mechanisms and their macroeconomic and social impacts. The study focuses on the rich case of the reforms associated with the Italian Recovery and Resilience Plan. We document a significant potential impact on medium- and long-term GDP and find that the labour market and education measures are the main drivers of the impact on GDP and employment. We also examine the distributional impact of the reforms on the functional income distribution.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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