The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.
LOB-based deep learning models for stock price trend prediction. A benchmark study / Prata, Matteo; Masi, Giuseppe; Berti, Leonardo; Arrigoni, Viviana; Coletta, Andrea; Cannistraci, Irene; Vyetrenko, Svitlana; Velardi, Paola; Bartolini, Novella. - In: ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE REVIEW. - ISSN 0269-2821. - 57:5(2024). [10.1007/s10462-024-10715-4]
LOB-based deep learning models for stock price trend prediction. A benchmark study
Matteo Prata;Giuseppe Masi;Viviana Arrigoni
;Andrea Coletta;Irene Cannistraci;Paola Velardi;Novella Bartolini
2024
Abstract
The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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