The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.

LOB-based deep learning models for stock price trend prediction. A benchmark study / Prata, Matteo; Masi, Giuseppe; Berti, Leonardo; Arrigoni, Viviana; Coletta, Andrea; Cannistraci, Irene; Vyetrenko, Svitlana; Velardi, Paola; Bartolini, Novella. - In: ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE REVIEW. - ISSN 0269-2821. - 57:5(2024). [10.1007/s10462-024-10715-4]

LOB-based deep learning models for stock price trend prediction. A benchmark study

Matteo Prata;Giuseppe Masi;Viviana Arrigoni
;
Andrea Coletta;Irene Cannistraci;Paola Velardi;Novella Bartolini
2024

Abstract

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.
2024
deep learning; financial markets; forecasting; learning systems
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
LOB-based deep learning models for stock price trend prediction. A benchmark study / Prata, Matteo; Masi, Giuseppe; Berti, Leonardo; Arrigoni, Viviana; Coletta, Andrea; Cannistraci, Irene; Vyetrenko, Svitlana; Velardi, Paola; Bartolini, Novella. - In: ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE REVIEW. - ISSN 0269-2821. - 57:5(2024). [10.1007/s10462-024-10715-4]
File allegati a questo prodotto
File Dimensione Formato  
Prata_LOB-based-deep_2024.pdf

accesso aperto

Tipologia: Versione editoriale (versione pubblicata con il layout dell'editore)
Licenza: Creative commons
Dimensione 5.69 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
5.69 MB Adobe PDF

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1704983
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 14
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 5
social impact