Purpose. We test the pertinence of the unemployment invariance hypothesis (UIH) for a set of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. Design/methodology/approach. We empirically investigate the nexus between unemployment and labour force participation employing structural vector autoregressive methods for panel data. Findings. We find that shocks in unemployment produce long-lasting, negative effects on participation, testifying to a discouraged worker effect. Originality/value. Our results do not support the validity of the UIH in high-income economies. This has relevant implications for policy making and macroeconomic models.

Is labour force participation independent of unemployment. a panel analysis for high income countries / PATERNESI MELONI, Walter. - In: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANPOWER. - ISSN 0143-7720. - Anno 2024:(2024).

Is labour force participation independent of unemployment. a panel analysis for high income countries

Walter Paternesi Meloni
2024

Abstract

Purpose. We test the pertinence of the unemployment invariance hypothesis (UIH) for a set of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. Design/methodology/approach. We empirically investigate the nexus between unemployment and labour force participation employing structural vector autoregressive methods for panel data. Findings. We find that shocks in unemployment produce long-lasting, negative effects on participation, testifying to a discouraged worker effect. Originality/value. Our results do not support the validity of the UIH in high-income economies. This has relevant implications for policy making and macroeconomic models.
2024
unemployment; participation; labour market; unemployment invariance; svar
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Is labour force participation independent of unemployment. a panel analysis for high income countries / PATERNESI MELONI, Walter. - In: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANPOWER. - ISSN 0143-7720. - Anno 2024:(2024).
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1701907
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