We extend in a minimal way the stylized macroeconomic Agent-Based model introduced in our previous paper (Gualdi et al. in J Econ Dyn Control 50:29-61, 2015a), with the aim of investigating the role and efficacy of monetary policy of a 'Central Bank' that sets the interest rate such as to steer the economy towards a prescribed inflation and employment rate. Our major finding is that provided its policy is not too aggressive (in a sense detailed in the paper) the Central Bank is successful in achieving its goals. However, the existence of different equilibrium states of the economy, separated by phase boundaries (or "dark corners"), can cause the monetary policy itself to trigger instabilities and be counter-productive. In other words, the Central Bank must navigate in a narrow window: too little is not enough, too much leads to instabilities and wildly oscillating economies. This conclusion strongly contrasts with the prediction of DSGE models.

Monetary policy and dark corners in a stylized agent-based model / Gualdi, S; Tarzia, M; Zamponi, F; Bouchaud, Jp. - In: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC INTERACTION AND COORDINATION. - ISSN 1860-711X. - 12:3(2017), pp. 507-537. [10.1007/s11403-016-0174-z]

Monetary policy and dark corners in a stylized agent-based model

Zamponi F;
2017

Abstract

We extend in a minimal way the stylized macroeconomic Agent-Based model introduced in our previous paper (Gualdi et al. in J Econ Dyn Control 50:29-61, 2015a), with the aim of investigating the role and efficacy of monetary policy of a 'Central Bank' that sets the interest rate such as to steer the economy towards a prescribed inflation and employment rate. Our major finding is that provided its policy is not too aggressive (in a sense detailed in the paper) the Central Bank is successful in achieving its goals. However, the existence of different equilibrium states of the economy, separated by phase boundaries (or "dark corners"), can cause the monetary policy itself to trigger instabilities and be counter-productive. In other words, the Central Bank must navigate in a narrow window: too little is not enough, too much leads to instabilities and wildly oscillating economies. This conclusion strongly contrasts with the prediction of DSGE models.
2017
Agent-based models; tipping points; social interactions
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Monetary policy and dark corners in a stylized agent-based model / Gualdi, S; Tarzia, M; Zamponi, F; Bouchaud, Jp. - In: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC INTERACTION AND COORDINATION. - ISSN 1860-711X. - 12:3(2017), pp. 507-537. [10.1007/s11403-016-0174-z]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1693807
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