The present study postulates distinctive land-use dynamics along the economic cycle, and tests against diverging trends over time of urban and non-urban land-uses with characteristic economic potential. Short-term land-use changes over seven time windows encompassing the last three decades (1992–2020) were investigated in metropolitan Athens (Greece), a mono-centric region experiencing complex economic downturns. Based on diachronic land-use maps with homogeneous spatial resolution and nomenclature derived from ESA Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI), a change detection analysis was run considering mean patch size, distance from downtown, and specific entropy-based metrics of landscape diversification (Shannon-Wiener H’ diversity index and Pielou J evenness index). Results of a canonical correlation analysis document differential intensity and spatial direction of change during expansions and recessions associated with distinctive socio-demographic profiles. Metropolitan growth followed a radio-centric (land-saving) model during economic expansions with intense urbanization of fringe land. A more dispersed settlement model – reflecting urban sprawl – was associated with economic stagnations, involving land at progressively distant locations from downtown. Landscape diversification was higher under stagnations and lower during expansions.

Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis à vis regional economic downturns / D'Agata, Alessia; Alaimo, LEONARDO SALVATORE; Cudlín, Pavel; Salvati, Luca. - In: SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES. - ISSN 0038-0121. - (2023). [10.1016/j.seps.2023.101603]

Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis à vis regional economic downturns

Alessia D'Agata;Leonardo Salvatore Alaimo
;
Luca Salvati
2023

Abstract

The present study postulates distinctive land-use dynamics along the economic cycle, and tests against diverging trends over time of urban and non-urban land-uses with characteristic economic potential. Short-term land-use changes over seven time windows encompassing the last three decades (1992–2020) were investigated in metropolitan Athens (Greece), a mono-centric region experiencing complex economic downturns. Based on diachronic land-use maps with homogeneous spatial resolution and nomenclature derived from ESA Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI), a change detection analysis was run considering mean patch size, distance from downtown, and specific entropy-based metrics of landscape diversification (Shannon-Wiener H’ diversity index and Pielou J evenness index). Results of a canonical correlation analysis document differential intensity and spatial direction of change during expansions and recessions associated with distinctive socio-demographic profiles. Metropolitan growth followed a radio-centric (land-saving) model during economic expansions with intense urbanization of fringe land. A more dispersed settlement model – reflecting urban sprawl – was associated with economic stagnations, involving land at progressively distant locations from downtown. Landscape diversification was higher under stagnations and lower during expansions.
2023
Metropolitan cycle; SprawlIndicators; Partial least square regression; Mediterranean Europe
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis à vis regional economic downturns / D'Agata, Alessia; Alaimo, LEONARDO SALVATORE; Cudlín, Pavel; Salvati, Luca. - In: SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES. - ISSN 0038-0121. - (2023). [10.1016/j.seps.2023.101603]
File allegati a questo prodotto
File Dimensione Formato  
2_salvati_seps_PREPROOF.pdf

accesso aperto

Tipologia: Documento in Pre-print (manoscritto inviato all'editore, precedente alla peer review)
Licenza: Tutti i diritti riservati (All rights reserved)
Dimensione 1.05 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
1.05 MB Adobe PDF
D'Agata_Easy-come_2023.pdf

solo gestori archivio

Tipologia: Documento in Post-print (versione successiva alla peer review e accettata per la pubblicazione)
Licenza: Tutti i diritti riservati (All rights reserved)
Dimensione 2.51 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
2.51 MB Adobe PDF   Contatta l'autore

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1679451
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 0
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
social impact