Early Prediction of Adverse Pregnancy Outcome in Women with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus, Antiphospholipid Syndrome, or Non-Criteria Obstetric Antiphospholipid Syndrome

A prospectively study of pregnant women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), antiphospholipid syndrome, or non-criteria obstetric antiphospholipid syndrome was conducted to describe the characteristics of women followed in a referral unit and to derive a predictive tool for adverse pregnancy outcome (APO). Demographic characteristics, treatments, SLE activity, and flares were recorded. Laboratory data included a complete blood cell count, protein-to-creatinine urinary ratio (Pr/Cr ratio), complement, anti dsDNA, anti-SSA/Ro, anti-SSB/La, and antiphospholipid antibodies status. A stepwise regression was used to identify baseline characteristics available before pregnancy and during the 1st trimester that were most predictive of APO and to create the predictive model. A total of 217 pregnancies were included. One or more APO occurred in 45 (20.7%) women. A baseline model including non-Caucasian ethnicity (OR 2.78; 95% CI [1.16–6.62]), smoking (OR 4.43; 95% CI [1.74–11.29]), pregestational hypertension (OR 16.13; 95% CI [4.06–64.02]), and pregestational corticosteroids treatment OR 2.98; 95% CI [1.30–6.87]) yielded an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI [0.70–0.86]). Among first-trimester parameters, only Pr/Cr ratio improved the model fit, but the predictive performance was not significantly improved (AUC of 0.78 vs. 0.81; p = 0.16). Better biomarkers need to be developed to efficiently stratify pregnant women with the most common autoimmune diseases.