We map ECB policy communication into yield curve changes and study the information flow on policy dates. A byproduct is the publicly available Euro Area Monetary Policy Event-Study Database (EA-MPD), containing intraday asset price changes. We find that Policy Target, Forward Guidance and Quantitative Easing factors capture about all the variation in the yield curve, with different factors appearing in the windows covering the policy decision announcement and the press conference, and having time-varying variance shares. We study sovereign yields, exchange rates, stock prices, persistence of effects and response asymmetry. Our methodology can be implemented for any policy-related event.

Measuring euro area monetary policy / Altavilla, C.; Brugnolini, L.; Gurkaynak, R. S.; Motto, R.; Ragusa, G.. - In: JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS. - ISSN 0304-3932. - 108:(2019), pp. 162-179. [10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.08.016]

Measuring euro area monetary policy

Ragusa G.
2019

Abstract

We map ECB policy communication into yield curve changes and study the information flow on policy dates. A byproduct is the publicly available Euro Area Monetary Policy Event-Study Database (EA-MPD), containing intraday asset price changes. We find that Policy Target, Forward Guidance and Quantitative Easing factors capture about all the variation in the yield curve, with different factors appearing in the windows covering the policy decision announcement and the press conference, and having time-varying variance shares. We study sovereign yields, exchange rates, stock prices, persistence of effects and response asymmetry. Our methodology can be implemented for any policy-related event.
2019
asymmetry; event-study; G14 ECB policy surprise; intraday; persistence
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Measuring euro area monetary policy / Altavilla, C.; Brugnolini, L.; Gurkaynak, R. S.; Motto, R.; Ragusa, G.. - In: JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS. - ISSN 0304-3932. - 108:(2019), pp. 162-179. [10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.08.016]
File allegati a questo prodotto
File Dimensione Formato  
Altavilla_Measuring_2019.pdf

solo gestori archivio

Tipologia: Documento in Post-print (versione successiva alla peer review e accettata per la pubblicazione)
Licenza: Tutti i diritti riservati (All rights reserved)
Dimensione 2.04 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
2.04 MB Adobe PDF   Contatta l'autore

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1672635
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 186
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 175
social impact