We study a phenomenological model for the continuous double auction, whose aggregate order process is equivalent to two independent M/M/1 queues. The continuous double auction defines a continuous-time random walk for trade prices. The conditions for ergodicity of the auction are derived and, as a consequence, three possible regimes in the behavior of prices and logarithmic returns are observed. In the ergodic regime, prices are unstable and one can observe a heteroskedastic behavior in the logarithmic returns. On the contrary, non-ergodicity triggers stability of prices, even if two different regimes can be seen.

Ergodic transition in a simple model of the continuous double auction / Radivojević, Tijana; Anselmi, Jonatha; Scalas, Enrico. - In: PLOS ONE. - ISSN 1932-6203. - 9:2(2014). [10.1371/journal.pone.0088095]

Ergodic transition in a simple model of the continuous double auction

Scalas, Enrico
2014

Abstract

We study a phenomenological model for the continuous double auction, whose aggregate order process is equivalent to two independent M/M/1 queues. The continuous double auction defines a continuous-time random walk for trade prices. The conditions for ergodicity of the auction are derived and, as a consequence, three possible regimes in the behavior of prices and logarithmic returns are observed. In the ergodic regime, prices are unstable and one can observe a heteroskedastic behavior in the logarithmic returns. On the contrary, non-ergodicity triggers stability of prices, even if two different regimes can be seen.
2014
continuous double auction; economics; ergodic transition; ergodicity; market; phenomenology; probability; randomization; statistical analysis; statistical model; biological model; commercial phenomena; computer simulation; investment; Monte Carlo method; Poisson distribution; statistical model; theoretical model, Commerce; Computer Simulation; Investments; Markov Chains; Models, Biological; Models, Economic; Models, Theoretical; Monte Carlo Method; Poisson Distribution; Probability
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Ergodic transition in a simple model of the continuous double auction / Radivojević, Tijana; Anselmi, Jonatha; Scalas, Enrico. - In: PLOS ONE. - ISSN 1932-6203. - 9:2(2014). [10.1371/journal.pone.0088095]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1668133
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