We perform a careful spectral analysis of the correlation structures observed in real and financial returns for a large pool of long-lived US corporations and find that financial returns are characterized by strong collective fluctuations that are absent from real returns. Once the excessive comovement is subtracted from individual financial time series, the behaviour of real and financial returns is virtually identical in both the cross-sectional and time series domains, thereby demonstrating the inherently collective nature of excessive fluctuations. Put differently, if excess volatility is to be reduced, then one would do well to inhibit excess comovement first. At any rate, the excessive behaviour in volatility and comovement should no longer be studied in isolation of each other.

A spectral perspective on excess volatility / Livan, Giacomo; Alfarano, Simone; Milakovic, Mishael; Scalas, Enrico. - In: APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS. - ISSN 1350-4851. - 22:9(2014), pp. 745-750. [10.1080/13504851.2014.975324]

A spectral perspective on excess volatility

Enrico Scalas
2014

Abstract

We perform a careful spectral analysis of the correlation structures observed in real and financial returns for a large pool of long-lived US corporations and find that financial returns are characterized by strong collective fluctuations that are absent from real returns. Once the excessive comovement is subtracted from individual financial time series, the behaviour of real and financial returns is virtually identical in both the cross-sectional and time series domains, thereby demonstrating the inherently collective nature of excessive fluctuations. Put differently, if excess volatility is to be reduced, then one would do well to inhibit excess comovement first. At any rate, the excessive behaviour in volatility and comovement should no longer be studied in isolation of each other.
2014
corporate strategy; financial system; profitability; spectral analysis; time series, United States; random matrix theory
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
A spectral perspective on excess volatility / Livan, Giacomo; Alfarano, Simone; Milakovic, Mishael; Scalas, Enrico. - In: APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS. - ISSN 1350-4851. - 22:9(2014), pp. 745-750. [10.1080/13504851.2014.975324]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1668128
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