Non-Markovian processes are widespread in natural and human-made systems, yet explicit modeling and analysis of such systems is underdeveloped. We consider a non-Markovian dynamic network with random link activation and deletion (RLAD) and heavy-tailed Mittag-Leffler distribution for the interevent times. We derive an analytically and computationally tractable system of Kolmogorov-like forward equations utilizing the Caputo derivative for the probability of having a given number of active links in the network and solve them. Simulations for the RLAD are also studied for power-law interevent times and we show excellent agreement with the Mittag-Leffler model. This agreement holds even when the RLAD network dynamics is coupled with the susceptible-infected-susceptible spreading dynamics. Thus, the analytically solvable Mittag-Leffler model provides an excellent approximation to the case when the network dynamics is characterized by power-law-distributed interevent times. We further discuss possible generalizations of our result.

Solvable non-Markovian dynamic network / Georgiou, N.; Kiss, I. Z.; Scalas, E.. - In: PHYSICAL REVIEW E, STATISTICAL, NONLINEAR, AND SOFT MATTER PHYSICS. - ISSN 1539-3755. - 92:4(2015). [10.1103/PhysRevE.92.042801]

Solvable non-Markovian dynamic network

Scalas E.
2015

Abstract

Non-Markovian processes are widespread in natural and human-made systems, yet explicit modeling and analysis of such systems is underdeveloped. We consider a non-Markovian dynamic network with random link activation and deletion (RLAD) and heavy-tailed Mittag-Leffler distribution for the interevent times. We derive an analytically and computationally tractable system of Kolmogorov-like forward equations utilizing the Caputo derivative for the probability of having a given number of active links in the network and solve them. Simulations for the RLAD are also studied for power-law interevent times and we show excellent agreement with the Mittag-Leffler model. This agreement holds even when the RLAD network dynamics is coupled with the susceptible-infected-susceptible spreading dynamics. Thus, the analytically solvable Mittag-Leffler model provides an excellent approximation to the case when the network dynamics is characterized by power-law-distributed interevent times. We further discuss possible generalizations of our result.
2015
Caputo derivatives; Explicit modeling; Forward equations; Network dynamics; Non-markovian dynamics; Non-Markovian process; Spreading dynamics; Susceptible-infected-susceptible, Dynamics, computer simulation; theoretical model, Computer Simulation; Models, Theoretical
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Solvable non-Markovian dynamic network / Georgiou, N.; Kiss, I. Z.; Scalas, E.. - In: PHYSICAL REVIEW E, STATISTICAL, NONLINEAR, AND SOFT MATTER PHYSICS. - ISSN 1539-3755. - 92:4(2015). [10.1103/PhysRevE.92.042801]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1668124
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