This study's focus is the association of end-of-therapy (EOT) PET results with progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting PFS and OS from EOT PET-complete response (PET-CR) using a literature-based meta-analysis of 20 treatment arms and a substudy of 4 treatment arms in 3 clinical trials for which we have patient-level data. The PET-CR rate in our substudy was 72%. The modeled estimates for hazard ratio (PET-CR/non-PET-CR) were 0.13 for PFS (95% CI 0.10, 0.16) and 0.10 for OS (CI 0.07, 0.12). Hazard ratios varied little by patient subtype and were confirmed by the overall meta-analysis. We link these findings to designing future clinical trials and show how our model can be used in adapting the sample size of a trial to accumulating results regarding treatment benefits on PET-CR and a survival endpoint.

PET-CR as a potential surrogate endpoint in untreated DLBCL: meta-analysis and implications for clinical trial design / Broglio, Kristine; Kostakoglu, Lale; Ward, Carol; Mattiello, Federico; Sahin, Denis; Nielsen, Tina; Mcglothlin, Anna; Elliott, Corrine F; Witzig, Thomas; Sehn, Laurie H; Trnĕný, Marek; Vitolo, Umberto; Martelli, Maurizio; Foster, Margaret; Wendelberger, Barbara; Nowakowski, Grzegorz; Berry, Donald A. - In: LEUKEMIA & LYMPHOMA. - ISSN 1042-8194. - 63:12(2022), pp. 2816-2831. [10.1080/10428194.2022.2095624]

PET-CR as a potential surrogate endpoint in untreated DLBCL: meta-analysis and implications for clinical trial design

Martelli, Maurizio;
2022

Abstract

This study's focus is the association of end-of-therapy (EOT) PET results with progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting PFS and OS from EOT PET-complete response (PET-CR) using a literature-based meta-analysis of 20 treatment arms and a substudy of 4 treatment arms in 3 clinical trials for which we have patient-level data. The PET-CR rate in our substudy was 72%. The modeled estimates for hazard ratio (PET-CR/non-PET-CR) were 0.13 for PFS (95% CI 0.10, 0.16) and 0.10 for OS (CI 0.07, 0.12). Hazard ratios varied little by patient subtype and were confirmed by the overall meta-analysis. We link these findings to designing future clinical trials and show how our model can be used in adapting the sample size of a trial to accumulating results regarding treatment benefits on PET-CR and a survival endpoint.
2022
Bayesian hierarchical model; clinical trial simulation; diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; end-of-treatment PET-complete response; meta-analysis; progression-free and overall survival
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
PET-CR as a potential surrogate endpoint in untreated DLBCL: meta-analysis and implications for clinical trial design / Broglio, Kristine; Kostakoglu, Lale; Ward, Carol; Mattiello, Federico; Sahin, Denis; Nielsen, Tina; Mcglothlin, Anna; Elliott, Corrine F; Witzig, Thomas; Sehn, Laurie H; Trnĕný, Marek; Vitolo, Umberto; Martelli, Maurizio; Foster, Margaret; Wendelberger, Barbara; Nowakowski, Grzegorz; Berry, Donald A. - In: LEUKEMIA & LYMPHOMA. - ISSN 1042-8194. - 63:12(2022), pp. 2816-2831. [10.1080/10428194.2022.2095624]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1664655
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