The classical no-arbitrage pricing theory allows to price assets through a linear pricing rule, by assuming a frictionless and competitive market. Moreover, completeness of the market assures that the pricing rule is defined as a discounted expected value with respect to a unique equivalent martingale measure. On the other hand, under no-arbitrage assumption, incomplete models, such as the trinomial model, lead to a set of equivalent martingale measures. This suggests to work with non-linear pricing rules that can allow frictions in the market. A generalized pricing rule can be achieved by replacing additive measures with non-additive measures such as convex capacities and belief functions in Dempster-Shafer theory. The paper recaps results on non-additive measures and Choquet expectation as non-linear functional to be used in pricing. In the literature it has been proved that, under suitable conditions, a non-linear pricing rule can be expressed as a Choquet expectation with respect to a convex capacity. In the trinomial market model the lower probability is a belief function, but it cannot be used to reach the lower expectation through the Choquet integral. Nevertheless it can avoid a generalized Dutch book condition in the framework of partially resolving uncertainty.

Pricing through the Choquet integral / Cinfrignini, Andrea. - In: ANNALI DEL DIPARTIMENTO DI METODI E MODELLI PER L'ECONOMIA, IL TERRITORIO E LA FINANZA .... - ISSN 2611-6634. - (2022). [10.13133/2611-6634/1392]

Pricing through the Choquet integral

Andrea Cinfrignini
2022

Abstract

The classical no-arbitrage pricing theory allows to price assets through a linear pricing rule, by assuming a frictionless and competitive market. Moreover, completeness of the market assures that the pricing rule is defined as a discounted expected value with respect to a unique equivalent martingale measure. On the other hand, under no-arbitrage assumption, incomplete models, such as the trinomial model, lead to a set of equivalent martingale measures. This suggests to work with non-linear pricing rules that can allow frictions in the market. A generalized pricing rule can be achieved by replacing additive measures with non-additive measures such as convex capacities and belief functions in Dempster-Shafer theory. The paper recaps results on non-additive measures and Choquet expectation as non-linear functional to be used in pricing. In the literature it has been proved that, under suitable conditions, a non-linear pricing rule can be expressed as a Choquet expectation with respect to a convex capacity. In the trinomial market model the lower probability is a belief function, but it cannot be used to reach the lower expectation through the Choquet integral. Nevertheless it can avoid a generalized Dutch book condition in the framework of partially resolving uncertainty.
2022
incomplete markets; lower pricing rule; trinomial model; non-additive measures; Choquet integral; belief functions; generalized no-Dutch book
01 Pubblicazione su rivista::01a Articolo in rivista
Pricing through the Choquet integral / Cinfrignini, Andrea. - In: ANNALI DEL DIPARTIMENTO DI METODI E MODELLI PER L'ECONOMIA, IL TERRITORIO E LA FINANZA .... - ISSN 2611-6634. - (2022). [10.13133/2611-6634/1392]
File allegati a questo prodotto
File Dimensione Formato  
Cinfrignini_Pricing-Croquet_2022.pdf

accesso aperto

Note: https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa02/annali_memotef/article/view/1392/1331
Tipologia: Versione editoriale (versione pubblicata con il layout dell'editore)
Licenza: Creative commons
Dimensione 365.85 kB
Formato Adobe PDF
365.85 kB Adobe PDF

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1628425
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus ND
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? ND
social impact