Renewable Energies Generation and Carbon Dioxide Emission Forecasting in Microgrids and National Grids using GRNN-GWO Methodology

Reducing CO2 emissions is a key goal of the strategy for a low-carbon economy and for the choice of greenhouse gas emission mitigation path. An effective forecasting method can represent a useful tool for managing renewable energies in microgrids and mitigating carbon dioxide emission. In this study is evaluated the trend of CO2 emission in Iran, Canada and Italy and compared the CO2 emission from consumption of energy sources: Coal - Natural Gas - Petroleum and other refined hydrocarbons - Renewable Energies. Furthermore, a proposed intelligent method has been provided for CO2 emission forecasting based on Generalized Regression Neural Network and Grey Wolf Optimization. Furthermore, the proposed method has been used for renewable energies generation (Wind power and Solar power) forecasting in the microgrid of Favignana island (Italy). The obtained results confirm the higher accuracy of the proposed method in long-term CO2 emission forecasting and short-term renewable energies generation as compared with other several methods.