In this paper, we make a prediction of the second wave of COVID-19 using a dynamic evolving neuro-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS). The model choice is motivated by the fact that the spread of the pandemic must be read in its dynamism and every prediction cannot ignore the daily updating of available data and new information. We provide results of the prediction of the second wave of COVID-19 across Europe, soliciting to update the model day by day as new information occurs. The study offers to public health stakeholders and Governments a useful tool to analyze the effectiveness of the virus containment measures in the short run and for controlling the COVID-19 spread.

Predicting the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic through the Dynamic Evolving Neuro Fuzzy Inference System / Levantesi, S.; Nigri, A.; Piscopo, G.. - (2022), pp. 37-46.

Predicting the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic through the Dynamic Evolving Neuro Fuzzy Inference System

Levantesi, S.
;
2022

Abstract

In this paper, we make a prediction of the second wave of COVID-19 using a dynamic evolving neuro-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS). The model choice is motivated by the fact that the spread of the pandemic must be read in its dynamism and every prediction cannot ignore the daily updating of available data and new information. We provide results of the prediction of the second wave of COVID-19 across Europe, soliciting to update the model day by day as new information occurs. The study offers to public health stakeholders and Governments a useful tool to analyze the effectiveness of the virus containment measures in the short run and for controlling the COVID-19 spread.
2022
Quantitative Methods in Demography: Methods and Related Applications in the Covid-19 Era
9783030930042
adaptive algorithm; COVID-19; fuzzy systems; predictive methods
02 Pubblicazione su volume::02a Capitolo o Articolo
Predicting the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic through the Dynamic Evolving Neuro Fuzzy Inference System / Levantesi, S.; Nigri, A.; Piscopo, G.. - (2022), pp. 37-46.
File allegati a questo prodotto
File Dimensione Formato  
Levantesi_Predicting-the-second_2022.pdf

solo gestori archivio

Tipologia: Versione editoriale (versione pubblicata con il layout dell'editore)
Licenza: Tutti i diritti riservati (All rights reserved)
Dimensione 1.07 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
1.07 MB Adobe PDF   Contatta l'autore

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1604630
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus ND
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? ND
social impact