An n-nomial market model over one time period is considered, composed by a risky asset and a risk-free bond. It is well-known that such a model, though arbitrage-free, is incomplete for $n>2$, as it gives rise to a family of equivalent martingale measures. In general, given a contingent claim on the risky asset, the approach under incompleteness is to choose one of the equivalent martingale measures in the class in order to arrive at a unique no-arbitrage price for the contract. A different approach is to work with the entire class or with a suitable subclass: in this case, we get an interval of prices. Here, we provide a characterization of the lower envelope of the class of equivalent martingale measures, casting it in the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. We further introduce a generalized no-arbitrage principle and investigate how to obtain a pricing functional from the lower envelope which is generalized-arbitrage-free.

Envelopes of equivalent martingale measures in an n-nomial market model / Cinfrignini, Andrea. - (2020). (Intervento presentato al convegno 13th International Conference of the ERCIM WG on Computational and Methodological Statistics - 14th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics tenutosi a London (Virtual Conference)).

Envelopes of equivalent martingale measures in an n-nomial market model

Andrea Cinfrignini
2020

Abstract

An n-nomial market model over one time period is considered, composed by a risky asset and a risk-free bond. It is well-known that such a model, though arbitrage-free, is incomplete for $n>2$, as it gives rise to a family of equivalent martingale measures. In general, given a contingent claim on the risky asset, the approach under incompleteness is to choose one of the equivalent martingale measures in the class in order to arrive at a unique no-arbitrage price for the contract. A different approach is to work with the entire class or with a suitable subclass: in this case, we get an interval of prices. Here, we provide a characterization of the lower envelope of the class of equivalent martingale measures, casting it in the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. We further introduce a generalized no-arbitrage principle and investigate how to obtain a pricing functional from the lower envelope which is generalized-arbitrage-free.
2020
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1556203
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