Donor–recipient match is a matter of debate in liver transplantation. D-MELD (donor age × recipient biochemical model for end-stage liver disease [MELD]) and other factors were analyzed on a national Italian database recording 5946 liver transplants. Primary endpoint was to determine factors predictive of 3- year patient survival. D-MELD cutoff predictive of 5- year patient survival <50% (5yrsPS<50%) was investigated. A prognosis calculator was implemented (www.D-MELD.com). Differences among D-MELD deciles allowed their regrouping into three D-MELD classes (A < 338, B 338–1628, C >1628). At 3 years, the odds ratio (OR) for death was 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44–2.85) in D-MELD class C versus B. The OR was 0.40 (95% CI, 0.24–0.66) in class A versus class B. Other predictors were hepatitis C virus (HCV; OR = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.11–1.81), hepatitis B virus (HBV; OR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.51–0.93), retransplant (OR = 1.82; 95% CI, 1.16–2.87) and low-volume center (OR = 1.48; 95% CI, 1.11–1.99). Cox regressions up to 90 months confirmed results. The hazard ratio was 1.97 (95% CI, 1.59–2.43) for D-MELD class C versus class B and 0.42 (95% CI, 0.29–0.60) for D-MELD class A versus class B. Recipient age, HCV, HBV and retransplant were also significant. The 5yrsPS<50% cutoffwas identified only in HCV patients (D-MELD ≥ 1750). The innovative approach offered by D-MELD and covariates is helpful in predicting outcome after liver transplantation, especially in HCV recipients.
Balancing Donor and Recipient Risk Factors in Liver Transplantation: The Value of D-MELD With Particular Reference to HCV Recipients / A. W., Avolioa; *, ; U., Cillob; *, ; M., Salizzonic; L., De Carlisd; M., Colledane; G. E., Gerundaf; V., Mazzaferrog; G., Tisoneh; R., Romagnolic; L., Caccamoi; Rossi, Massimo; A., Vitaleb; A., Cucchettik; L., Lupol; S., Gruttadauriam; N., Nicolottin; P., Burrao; P, ; A., Gasbarriniq; R, ; S., Agnesa. - In: AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TRANSPLANTATION. - ISSN 1600-6135. - STAMPA. - 11:(2011), pp. 2724-2736. [10.1111/j.1600-6143.2011.03732.x]
Balancing Donor and Recipient Risk Factors in Liver Transplantation: The Value of D-MELD With Particular Reference to HCV Recipients
ROSSI, MASSIMO;
2011
Abstract
Donor–recipient match is a matter of debate in liver transplantation. D-MELD (donor age × recipient biochemical model for end-stage liver disease [MELD]) and other factors were analyzed on a national Italian database recording 5946 liver transplants. Primary endpoint was to determine factors predictive of 3- year patient survival. D-MELD cutoff predictive of 5- year patient survival <50% (5yrsPS<50%) was investigated. A prognosis calculator was implemented (www.D-MELD.com). Differences among D-MELD deciles allowed their regrouping into three D-MELD classes (A < 338, B 338–1628, C >1628). At 3 years, the odds ratio (OR) for death was 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44–2.85) in D-MELD class C versus B. The OR was 0.40 (95% CI, 0.24–0.66) in class A versus class B. Other predictors were hepatitis C virus (HCV; OR = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.11–1.81), hepatitis B virus (HBV; OR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.51–0.93), retransplant (OR = 1.82; 95% CI, 1.16–2.87) and low-volume center (OR = 1.48; 95% CI, 1.11–1.99). Cox regressions up to 90 months confirmed results. The hazard ratio was 1.97 (95% CI, 1.59–2.43) for D-MELD class C versus class B and 0.42 (95% CI, 0.29–0.60) for D-MELD class A versus class B. Recipient age, HCV, HBV and retransplant were also significant. The 5yrsPS<50% cutoffwas identified only in HCV patients (D-MELD ≥ 1750). The innovative approach offered by D-MELD and covariates is helpful in predicting outcome after liver transplantation, especially in HCV recipients.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
