Evacuation plan as a risk mitigation measure: Scenario-based time estimation of partial evacuation operation

This study concentrates on evacuation procedure as a risk mitigation measure for managing and coping with emergency due to flood hazard. Emergency Management has been known as an ever-growing area of academic research in the recent decades. Particularly, Emergency Planning ahead of threatening events is crucial for moving toward a resilient society. Effective implementation of Emergency Contingency Plans during the situation of real Risk Scenarios is mainly a matter of situation awareness, cooperation and collaboration of involved organizations, timely decision-making under stressful circumstances, and availability of resources. Having defined a plan for evacuation operations as a protective measure is necessary for reduction of risk consequences to exposed population. This paper presents partial evacuation time estimations related to vehicle movement time by two methods applied to a case study (San Rocco al Porto, Italy) due to flood event: Time is estimated as a result of modeling by Mesoscopic approach. Second, the “timeline of emergency response for flood evacuation” proposed by Steve Opper is used as a quick handy method to estimate vehicle movement time.